Will Annexation of the Jordan Valley Compromise Jordan's Peace Treaty with Israel? The US Perspective
Annexation of the Jordan Valley: A Historical Context
Annexation of the Jordan Valley is a complex issue that stems from historical divisions imposed by empires. These artificial lines have left us with the challenge of formalizing the absorption of land that is already part of Israel. While annexation is not necessarily a necessity, the current geopolitical context necessitates considering this move to maintain regional stability.
Impact on Jordan's Peace Treaty with Israel
The King of Jordan is unlikely to suspend the peace treaty with Israel. Suspend the peace treaty would be detrimental to Jordan's national interest, especially considering the strategic benefits of the agreement. However, the King is eyeing the annexed Jordan Valley to repatriate millions of refugees currently living in camps within Jordan. By allowing these refugees to become citizens, the King aims to integrate them more fully into Jordanian society, addressing a critical humanitarian issue.
US Perspective on Annexation
The United States supports the application of sovereignty over the Jordan Valley and parts of Judea and Samaria. However, the influence the US has over the King of Jordan remains to be seen. The US can offer significant economic and military support, which could enable the King to maintain his peace treaty with Israel. Nevertheless, the King's position is further complicated by his commitment to the Arab cause, creating a unique dilemma for him.
Pros and Cons for Both Nations
Both Israel and Jordan will experience certain impacts from annexation, but the effects may differ significantly. Israel might lose the ability for Israeli citizens to travel to India and other Eastern countries via Jordan Air and Qatar. Tourism in Jordan could also see a decline. Meanwhile, Jordan is heavily dependent on water provided by Israel and will lose a vital resource. Air Jordan's ability to fly over Israel for westward routes will be compromised, as will access to Haifa Harbor and potential tourism in Israel.
It seems that Jordan stands to lose much more than Israel. Jordan's loss of water, tourism, and economic opportunities poses a more significant threat to its national stability and development. Moreover, the security arrangements that have been established could be disrupted, leading to increased tensions in the region.
Conclusion
The annexation of the Jordan Valley is a significant step with far-reaching implications. While it may not necessarily cause the King of Jordan to suspend the peace treaty with Israel, it presents a critical challenge to regional stability. The US's role in mediating these issues will be crucial, and the outcome will depend on the balance of interests and support from all involved parties.