The Future of Russia if and When it Conquers Ukraine
With the Ukrainian resistance showing no signs of weakening, several scenarios emerge for what might happen if Russia successfully conquers the entirety of Ukraine. This article delves into potential outcomes and the lasting impacts on both Russia and the wider geopolitical landscape.
Post-Conquest Reconstruction and Governance
Once the Banderites are defeated, Ukraine will need to be thoroughly rebuilt. However, under the leadership of ultranationalists, the current conflict has spiraled out of control. A pro-Russian government could potentially assume power, either by signing a treaty with Russia or declaring Ukraine neutral. This scenario, however, is highly improbable. Ukrainians are united in their opposition to Russian annexation and will not willingly cede control of their nation.
Geopolitical Fallout
The entrenchment of NATO's traditional plans to undermine and ultimately remove Russia is at stake. A Russian victory would likely see NATO shift its focus to other nefarious projects. In contrast, a Ukrainian defeat would result in widespread ruination both economically and symbolically. Russia would have the resources and capability to rebuild the conquered territories, but this would come at a significant cost to its international image. US corporations, on the other hand, would likely exploit the devastated Ukrainian economy for their own benefit.
Consequences of Conquest
The concept of a nuclear strike, such as nuking Kiev, raises even more troubling questions about Russia's strategic overshooting. If Russia were to succeed in such an extreme measure, the aftermath would be catastrophic. The need to govern a vast and ethnically diverse territory the size of Texas would require a massive military force and substantial resources.
To control such a vast conquered area would be fraught with guerilla warfare and resistance from Ukrainian forces. The cost of maintaining order and stability in a post-nuclear Ukraine would far surpass any potential gains. Russia risks a prolonged, brutal conflict that could have more profound and lasting consequences than initial military victory would provide.
Strategic Priorities for Russia
Even if Russia were to somehow conquer Ukraine, it would need to re-evaluate its military and economic strategies in the face of potential future challenges. Economic development, especially with Asian markets, becomes a critical focus. Russia must also develop robust defensive capabilities against Western aggression, which is likely to continue as historical patterns suggest.
Despite Western attention now shifting to the Middle East and Asia, Russia cannot forget the cyclical nature of Western efforts to destabilize it. The next Western attempt to incite trouble may be years away, but it is inevitable.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the idea of Russia conquering Ukraine is fraught with dramatic and unforeseen consequences. A Ukrainian surrender through the use of nuclear weapons would lead to a prolonged and costly conflict, overshadowing any potential gains. Moreover, Putin has seriously overshot Russia's capabilities in this ill-advised conflict. Economic development and strategic re-evaluation are critical for Russia's future, and the region demands a new approach to avoid further conflict.