Evaluating Lenín Moreno's Presidency: A Critical Analysis

Lenín Moreno served as the President of Ecuador from May 2017 until May 2021. His tenure was marked by a mix of accomplishments and challenges, with his efforts often met with controversy and criticism from various quarters. This analysis evaluates Moreno's presidency based on economic challenges, social policies, political polarization, and the response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Economic Challenges

Upon assuming office, Moreno inherited significant economic challenges, including high public debt and a need for austerity measures. His efforts to cut public spending were initially controversial and met with protests. Moreno's government attempted to implement fiscal reforms and attract foreign investment to stabilize the economy. However, these initiatives were not without controversy. For instance, one of the best-run state companies, CNT, was sold to private capital, sparking concerns about the allocation of resources and potential corruption. Additionally, the government has signed agreements with international financial institutions like the IMF, which often require strict economic measures when settling loans.

According to the IMF, Ecuador's economy is estimated to experience a decrease, while the World Bank predicts only a slight 1% growth. This situation has raised concerns among policymakers and the general public about the long-term sustainability of the economy.

Social Policies

Moreno's social policies aimed to balance social welfare with economic reform. He launched programs such as free housing for the poor and increased grants for poor single mothers and elderly people, which won him support among certain demographics. However, critics argue that these measures have been poorly implemented. For example, some families who do not need the grants receive them, while others who need them are excluded. This has led to a situation where resources are not being used efficiently, and the intended beneficiaries are not receiving the support they need.

Moreover, state-run companies like CNT, which were effectively managed under previous administrations, were handed over to private capital. This move has raised questions about the motives behind such a drastic change and the potential impact on public welfare and employment. The telecom industry, for instance, saw a significant shift in management, with no apparent improvement in service quality.

Political Polarization

Moreno's presidency witnessed increasing political polarization, particularly between supporters of his government and those loyal to his predecessor Rafael Correa. This polarization affected governance and stability, with prolonged disputes and conflicts over key policies and appointments. The division became so severe that accusations of corruption were leveled against both sides, with Moreno facing criticism for various scandals.

A notable example is the handling of the Assange issue. While Moreno took the right steps by expelling Assange from his embassy in London, the circumstances surrounding this decision further fueled the already tense political atmosphere. The government's approach to addressing corruption within its ranks, such as not interfering in the justice system to protect high-profile individuals like former vice presidents Jorge Glas and María Alejandra Vicua, has provided some relief to the public.

Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic further strained public health resources and economic stability, posing additional challenges for Moreno's government. While the administration implemented various measures to mitigate the impact of the pandemic, including financial support for affected sectors, the effectiveness of these measures has been widely debated. The pandemic exacerbated existing social and economic inequalities, and the government's response was seen as insufficient by many.

In conclusion, Moreno's presidency was marked by a complex interplay of economic, social, and political challenges. While there were efforts to address these issues, they were often met with criticism and controversy. The government's ability to navigate these challenges successfully will be subject to ongoing evaluation by academics, policymakers, and the general public.